Horse Racing

The big Democratic waves of the last two cycles have brought with them several seats that seemed implausible to switch at this point in the off-year. But even that far in advance of the 2010 contest, a few unlikely targets have emerged.

The Hill takes a look at the Top 10 dark-horse races to keep an eye on:

McCaul was technically a lower-tier Democratic target in 2008, but that was really only because his opponent, former TV judge Larry Joe Doherty (D), was raising money like gangbusters.

Doherty really didn’t have the right profile, and he wound up losing by a pedestrian 11 points — the exact margin of the presidential tally in the district. Now, Democrats have another big-money candidate, with businessman Jack McDonald raising $300,000 in the first quarter. We’ll see if he has the right profile, but the fact that he is vice chairman of the Greater Austin Chamber of Commerce suggests he might. The party has already put McCaul near the top of its target list.

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